Hedge Funds Post Strongest Performance in Two Decades
Hedge fund managers have achieved one of their most robust performances in 20 years, according to recent data analyzed by Goldman Sachs. The financial giant examined nearly 700 hedge funds with $3 trillion in equity positions, revealing strategic investments in cyclical stocks, mega caps, and bitcoin have significantly boosted returns.
Long-short funds have experienced a 14% annual gain through mid-November, potentially doubling the median return. This impressive performance coincides with hedge funds increasing their net exposure to stocks, reaching the highest levels since early 2022.
The analysis shows that hedge funds have concentrated their investments, with 72% of long assets in the 10 largest holdings. Position crowding remains high, indicating similar stock preferences among funds. Fund turnover has decreased, with managers swapping fewer holdings throughout the year.
Hedge funds increased net leverage before the US elections, benefiting from a post-election surge. Wall Street anticipates positive impacts from President-elect Donald Trump’s economic agenda, leading to shifts in investment strategies.
The funds have pivoted towards cyclical stocks, reducing exposure to defensive sectors. Financials have been favored, while consumer staples, healthcare, and real estate have seen reduced interest. Timely investments in bitcoin and Chinese stocks have also contributed to significant returns.
Mega-cap growth stocks like Nvidia and Tesla remain popular among hedge funds, while interest in Apple and Amazon has waned. There’s a noticeable trend of diversification towards mid-sized stocks, moving away from large caps.
Goldman Sachs’ “Hedge Fund VIP” list highlights stocks frequently in the top-10 holdings of hedge funds. These top stocks have outperformed the S&P 500, with a 30% rise in 2024. The list is not sector-neutral, with a strong representation of technology stocks.
As hedge funds continue to adapt to market trends and political shifts, their strategic positioning appears to be paying off, resulting in one of the strongest performances seen in the past two decades.